Caucasus War 2020 How-To-Guide

[FASTBOAT TOUGH]

Light background of the situation and current armor losses on both sides of the conflict. Note the picture and caption underneath at top of article.
https://www.armyrecognition.com/defe..._increase.html

Regards,
Pat

[MarkSheppard]

The big takeaway from this war is that loitering munitions such as:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/IAI_Harpy
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/IAI_Harop

have "come of age".

Basically, all of the loitering munitions have a 20-30 kg HE-FRAG warhead and can either operate in:

"Fire at predicted enemy concentration, autonomously search for targets, if no target found either self destruct or return to base"

"Man in loop control" with someone watching the video and confirming what to strike or not.

And because they're smaller and move slower than "traditional" air defense targets, they're overlooked by conventional SHORAD/Air Defenses.

Then again, like in Operation Desert Storm, we're only seeing the "good" videos of successful loitering munition attacks; the Azerbaijani MoD isn't going to post video of them being shot down or missing their targets.

[RC4]

https://twitter.com/i/status/1311925658247979008

[RC4]

https://twitter.com/i/status/1312378543247110144

[RC4]

https://twitter.com/i/status/1312313377696501763

[RC4]

Very interesting video, showing lots of forces and equipment
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_lWr...re=emb_rel_end

[RC4]

Before the war analisis
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iA3_aTkr-H4

[RC4]

Armenia ORBAT

SOF Reg
Signals Reg
Eng Reg
Aviation Reg
SAM Brigade
2 SAM Regs
3 Tank Bns
2 Arm Recon Bns
3 Art Regs

North Army Corps w/1 Brigade
Central Army Corps w/1 Brigade
Nogorno-Karabah Army Corps w/4 Brigades
Nacivan Facing Army Corps w/4 Brigades
Training Army Corps w/2 Brigades on mobilization

[RC4]

Azerbaijan Weapons declared by SIPRI

100 T90S (Russia 2013-15)
259 T72M1 (1 Slovakia 2002)(45 Ukraine 2004-06)(60 Belarus 2005-06+93 in 2011-13)(60 Russia 2007)
(w/100 LAHAT ATGM Israel 2015-16)
150 T55 (Ukraine 1993-94)
23 BTS5B ARV (4 Ukraine 2007+19 2012-13)
118 BMP3M IFV (Russia 2013-15 w/1000 9M117 (AT10) Bastion ATGM)
18 2S31(BMP3) Vena 120mm SPM (Russia 2012-14)
24 9P157-2(BMP3) Khrizantema-S TD (Russia 2017-18 w/800 9M123 (AT15) (Russia 2017-18)
2 BMP1 IFV (Ukraine 2005)
76 BTR82A 8x8 IFV (Russia 2017-18)
70 BTR80A 8x8 IFV (Russia 2007-10)
3 BTR3U Guardian 8x8 IFV (Ukraine 2006)
18 BTR80 8x8 APC (Ukraine 2007)
150 BTR70 8x8 APC (Ukraine 2007-10)
85 Marauder 4x4 MRAP (25 South Africa 2009-11+30 2012+30 2013-15 w/assembly in Azerbaijan)
60 Matador 4x4 MRAP (25 South Africa 2010-11+35 2012-15 w/assembly in Azerbaijan)
100 SandCat 4x4 APV (Israel 2016-18)
10 SandCat Spike-LR 4x4 TD (Israel 2016 w/250 Spike-LR)
10 Sandcat SPEAR w/CARDOM 120mm 4x4 SPM (Israel 2018)
10 Sufa 4x4 APV (Israel 2009-10)
35 Cobra 4x4 APV (Turkey 2010-11)
37 Shorland 4x4 APV (Turkey 2010-2011)

4 LORA MRL (Israel 2018 w/50 LORA SSM)
6 Dolu-1, Leysan and Shimsek (Lynx) MRL (Israel 2006 w/50 EXTRA SSM)
30 BM9A52 Smerch MRL (12 Ukraine 2004-05)(18 Russia 2012-14)
36 TOS1 MRL (Russia 2013-17)
10 B200BM Polonez MRL (Belarus 2018-19)
20 300mm T300 MRL (Turkey 2015-16 w/108 TRG300 300mm Guided rocket from 2016)
40 122/300mm T122/300 MRL (Turkey 2012-14 w/108 TRG300 300mm Guided rocket from 2016)
30 122mm RM70 MRL (Czech 2017-18)
30 107mm T107 MRL (Turkey 2011-13)
15 203mm 2S7 Pion SPA (3 Ukraine 2008+3 Belarus 2008+9 in 2009)
5 155mm ATMOS2000 SPA (Israel 2010)
18 152mm 2A19 MSTA-S SPA (Russia 2012-14)
36 152mm DANA SPA (Slovakia 2017-18)
16 152mm 2S3 SPA (Ukraine 2009-10)
26 152mm 2A36 Giatsint-B (Belarus 2017)
36 130mm M46 (Bulgaria 2002)
54 122mm 2S1 SPA (Ukraine 2008-10)
85 122mm D30 (55 Ukraine 2007+30 Belarus 2010)
72 100mm MT12(2A19) ATG (Ukraine 2002)
2 S300PMU2 (SA20B) SAM (Russia 2011 w/200 48N6 (SA10) missiles)
2 9K37 Buk1MB SAM (Russia 2013-14 w/100 9M317 (SA17) Grizzly + 100 9M38 (SA11) missiles)
40 Barak-8 SAM (Israel 2016)
40 Barak-8ER SAM (Israel 2016)
1 Barak-LR SAM (Israel 2016)
200 SA24 Igla-S MANPADS (Russia 2012-13 w/1000 missiles)
18 SA14 Strela-3 MANPADS (Ukraine 2008)

85 M43 120mm Mortar (Ukraine 2005-06)
100 Spike-LR ATGM (Israel 2009-10)
100 AT14 Kornet ATGM (Russia 2009-10)

16 MiG29+MiG29UB (Ukraine 2006-11 w/10 SOM-B1 ASM (Turkey 2018-19))
17 Su25 Frogfoot (6 Georgia 2006)(11 Belarus 2009-12)
12 L39C Albatros (Ukraine 2006)
10 MFI17 Super Mushshak (Pakistan 2018)
24 Mi35M Hind (Russia 2011-14)
12 Mi24G Hind (Ukraine 2009-10 w/400 R2 missiles for Skif & Baryer Systems)
66 Mi8MT Hip (Russia 2010-15) (20 Border Guard+6 Police)
2 B412 (2018)

2 Hermes-900 UAV (Israel 2017-18)
10 Hermes-450 UAV (Israel 2011-13)
10 Orbiter-3 UAV (Israel 2016-17)
5 Heron UAV (Israel 2013)
5 Searcher UAV (Israel 2013)
14 Aerostar UAV (4 Israel 2008+10 2011-12) (production of components in Azerbaijan)
100 Orbiter-1K Loitering munition (Israel 2016-2019) (production in Azerbaijan as Zerba)
50 Harop Loitering munition (Israel 2015-16)
100 Skystriker Loitering munition (Israel 2018)

6 OPV62 FAC (Israel 2015-18)
6 Shaldag FAC (Israel 2014-15) (produced in Azerbaijan) (w/250 Spike-NLOS)
1 AB25 Patrol craft (Turkey 2000)

Thanks

[RC4]

Armenian Weapons declared by SIPRI

1 T90S (Russia 2016)
84 T72 (Russia 1994-96)
50 BMP2 IFV (Russia 1995-96)
4 9P148(BRDM2) 4x4 TD (Russia 1995-96 w/9M14 (AT5) missiles)
10 Tigr 4x4 APV (Russia 2011)

4 9P78 Iskander SSM TEL (Russia 2016 w/25 Iskander SSM)
8 9P117/Scud-B TEL SSM (Russia 1996 w/24 R17 Elbrus SSMs)
6 BM9A52 Smerch MRL (Russia 2016-17)
4 273mm WM80 MRL (China 1999)
18 122mm BM21 Grad MRL (Russia 1995-96)
18 152mm D1 (Russia 1995-96)
18 152mm D20 (Russia 1995-96)
62 122mm D30 (36 Russia1995-96)(10 Belarus 2007)(16 Montenegro 2010)
2 S300PS(SA10B) SAM (Russia 2009-10 w/144 5V55U(SA10) missiles)
9 2K11(SA4) Krug SAM (Russia 1994 w/349 3M8M1(SA4) missiles)
2 SA15 Tor-M2KM SAM (Russia 2019 w/50 9M338(SA15) missiles)
4 Osa-AK(SA8B) SAM (Russia 2019 w/120 9M33(SA8) missiles)
40 9M33 Osa(SA8 Gecko) SAM (Russia 1993-94)
40 SA18 Igla MANPADS (Russia 1995-96 w/200 missiles)
400 missiles SA24 Igla-S MANPADS (200 Russia 2013+200 2016)
200 SA25 Verba MANPADS (Russia 2016-17)

100 AT14 Kornet-E ATGM (Russia 2017)
945 9M111(AT4) Fagot ATGM (Russia 1993-96)

4 Su30SM (Russia 2019)
9 Su25K+1 Su25UBK (Slovalia 2004)
6 L39C Albatros (2 Ukraine 2004+4 2010-11)
2 Il-76M (Russia 2004)

Thanks