[Ironhawk]

All you need is a flyer of your own to just go behind him and clean up all the province the enemy raider craps on. That should balance things out.

As for flying meaning you are unable to guess his movements - its not really the case. Put yourself in the shoes of the controller of that SC. He's likely not moving *completely* randomly. The enemy player wants to maximize his damage to you (probably in gold) while minimizing the threat to his raider. So high value provinces which are not near forts or other troop bodies are the most likely targets.