April 10th, 2003, 04:11 PM
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First Lieutenant
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Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: France
Posts: 664
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Re: [OT] Another heated discussion about the Iraq siutation, war and politics.
Revisited opinion.
I stumbled into this passage
Quote:
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5- Civil war breaks out in Iraq between die hard Sunnis (Saddam's power base), Shia militias (that have been maintaining training camps in Iran) and Kurds. None of this would Last long. The invasion is largely to stomp on Saddam's Sunni backers and that will happen no matter what. The Turks will take care of any violent Kurds, something the Turks have been doing quite handily for over a thousand years. The Shia militias couldn't defeat the Republican Guard, and they certainly can't defeat the U.S. Army. Iraq still loses the war.
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As if the invasion was versus an ethnical group (the Sunni), while the Kurds were just cannon fooder for the Turc. This part is especially avoiding the difficult part of US policie between their need of Kurds and their need of Turkey to access the Balkans.
As a whole, I was not impressed by that website, so I'll keep on with stratfor which seems much more serious in its work.
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Ph'nglui mglw'nafh Cthulhu R'lyeh wagh'nagl fhtagn.
�a ! �a ! Cthulhu fhtagn ! Cthulhu fhtagn !
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